In Chapter 8, Taleb further examines the concept of silent evidence, which generally points to a widely held and rarely questioned delusion of stability. In Chapters 4-7, Taleb argues that we misinterpret events by means of generalization in four major ways: by relying on confirmation bias, creating narratives to explain or justify the event, allowing emotions to affect sound inferences, and neglecting to examine the often "silent evidence" that helps provide greater context. In Chapter 3, Taleb makes a distinction between two types of randomness, using a metaphor he creates of two different worlds: Extremistan and Mediocristan. In Chapter 2, he tells the story of a fictional writer named Yevgenia Krasnova, whose literary success was a key example of a Black Swan as Taleb defines it. In Chapter 1, Taleb relays his own personal experiences in leaving Lebanon in the midst of war, and how this experience was foundational in his process of intellectual inquiry.
What he hadn't read or discovered was of greater importance and value to him than what he had already read or learned.
In the brief introduction to Part 1, Taleb explains that the writer Umberto Eco considered the unread books of his vast library collection to be the most valuable. He then moves into Part 1: "Umberto Eco's Antilibrary, or How We Seek Validation," which consists of the first ten chapters of the book. He also provides the reader with a guide for understanding the reasoning and roadmap for the book. The Black Swan represents the idea that common knowledge can be revolutionized by the arrival of a new event. In the prologue, Taleb introduces the concept and premise of the book. The Black Swan is divided into four parts, bookended by a prologue and an epilogue. This study guide refers to the 2007 Random House edition of The Black Swan. The Black Swan was a New York Times bestseller and is part of Taleb's five-part Incerto series, consisting of five books thematically linked by the idea that humankind must learn to live with and adapt to the unexpected.
0 kommentar(er)
